Key Points

• NVDA stock price is currently around $138.85, with strong recent performance driven by AI and GPU market leadership.
• Next week’s stock movement may hinge on the Q4 2025 earnings report on February 26, 2025, with expected EPS of $0.85 and revenue of $38.13 billion.
• Long-term growth is promising due to NVDA’s dominance in AI, with analysts predicting continued expansion and a 12-month price target of $170.
• Competition from AMD, Intel, and regulatory risks could pose challenges, but NVDA’s innovation maintains its edge.

Current Stock Overview

NVDA, or NVIDIA Corporation, is a leader in graphics processing units (GPUs) and AI technology, currently trading at approximately $138.85. The stock has shown robust growth, reflecting the company’s strong position in the AI and GPU markets. Its latest Q3 2025 earnings reported a revenue of $35.1 billion, up 17% from the previous quarter and 94% from the year ago, with GAAP EPS at $0.78 and non-GAAP EPS at $0.81, both showing significant year-over-year increases.

Short-term Prediction for Next Week

The upcoming Q4 2025 earnings report, due on February 26, 2025, is a critical event for NVDA’s stock in the next week. Analysts expect an EPS of around $0.85 and revenue of approximately $38.13 billion, both significantly higher than last year’s figures. Given NVDA’s history of beating estimates, there’s optimism for a positive reaction if expectations are met or exceeded. However, the stock could face volatility, potentially moving up if the report is strong or down if it misses, especially with high market expectations.

Long-term Growth Prospects

NVDA is well-positioned for long-term growth, driven by its dominance in the AI chip market and ongoing innovations. Analysts are bullish, with a 12-month price target of about $170, suggesting a 25.31% increase from current levels. Long-term forecasts predict continued growth, with some estimates reaching $200 or higher in coming years, fueled by increasing AI adoption across industries and NVDA’s full-stack solutions.

Potential Risks and Challenges

While NVDA leads, it faces competition from companies like AMD and Intel, as well as big tech firms developing their own AI chips. Regulatory and trade issues, particularly with technology exports, and supply chain constraints could also impact growth. Despite these, NVDA’s proprietary technologies and first-mover advantage in CUDA and software ecosystems provide a strong moat.

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Comprehensive Analysis of NVDA Stock Performance and Growth Prospects

This detailed analysis explores NVIDIA Corporation’s (NVDA) stock performance over the next week and its long-term growth potential, considering current market conditions, upcoming events, and analyst predictions. NVDA, a leader in graphics processing units (GPUs) and artificial intelligence (AI) technology, is pivotal in the tech landscape, particularly for AI and data centre solutions.

Current Stock Price and Recent Performance

As of recent data, NVDA’s stock price stands at approximately $138.85, reflecting its strong market position. The company’s latest financials, from the third quarter of fiscal 2025 ending October 27, 2024, reported a record revenue of $35.1 billion, marking a 17% increase from the previous quarter and a 94% rise year-over-year. GAAP earnings per diluted share were $0.78, up 16% from the prior quarter and 111% from the year ago, while non-GAAP EPS was $0.81, up 19% sequentially and 103% year-over-year. This performance underscores NVDA’s robust growth, driven by high demand for its Hopper and Blackwell architectures, particularly in data centres, which saw revenue of $30.8 billion, up 112% from the previous year.

Historical data indicates NVDA has been on an upward trend, with significant gains over the past year, aligning with the broader AI boom. This is evident from comparisons with market indices like the S&P 500, where NVDA has outperformed, reflecting investor confidence in its AI leadership.

Short-term Prediction: Next Week’s Performance

The immediate focus for NVDA stock in the next week is its fourth quarter fiscal 2025 earnings report, scheduled for February 26, 2025. This report is anticipated to be a key driver of stock movement, given the high expectations set by analysts.

• Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast an EPS of $0.85 for Q4 2025, a 61.54% increase year-over-year, with revenue expected at $38.13 billion, up significantly from last year’s figures. This optimism is based on NVDA’s consistent track record of beating estimates, with a 100% beat rate in the past 12 months for EPS, as per recent analyst reports (Nvidia Stock Forecast).
• Potential Volatility: The stock may experience volatility around the earnings date. If NVDA beats expectations, particularly with strong guidance for fiscal 2026, the stock could see upward movement. Conversely, given the high bar set by recent performance, meeting expectations without exceeding them might lead to a sell-off, as seen in past instances where market reactions were sensitive to guidance. The expected stock price move for earnings week is around 8%, indicating potential for significant swings.
• Key Influencers: The performance of NVDA’s Blackwell chip, now in full production, will be crucial. CEO Jensen Huang has highlighted “incredible” demand, and the earnings call may provide updates on production ramp-up and sales projections, potentially impacting investor sentiment. Additionally, any mention of supply chain constraints or competitive pressures could sway the stock.

Long-term Growth Prospects

NVDA’s long-term growth prospects are robust, underpinned by its leadership in AI and GPU technologies, which are integral to the ongoing digital transformation across industries.

• Market Dominance and AI Adoption: NVDA holds an estimated 88% market share in GPUs as of Q1 2024, particularly for AI applications, according to industry reports (Nvidia Market Share). The increasing adoption of AI in sectors like healthcare, finance, and automotive, driven by generative AI and large language models, ensures sustained demand for NVDA’s products. Analysts predict revenue growth of 22.6% annually, outpacing the broader market (NVIDIA Stock Forecast).
• Innovation and Product Roadmap: NVDA’s investment in R&D has resulted in a steady pipeline of innovations, including the Grace Hopper superchips and Spectrum-X Ethernet for AI, enhancing its full-stack offerings. The company’s focus on data center solutions and software platforms like CUDA creates a competitive moat, making it difficult for rivals to catch up. Long-term forecasts suggest EPS could reach $3.98 by fiscal 2026, with projections extending to $6.26 by 2028, reflecting continued momentum (NVIDIA Earnings Forecast).
• Analyst Sentiment: The average analyst rating for NVDA is “Strong Buy,” with 53 buy ratings and only 5 hold ratings in recent months. The 12-month price target is $169.53, implying a 25.31% upside from the current price, with some estimates reaching as high as $220 (NVIDIA Analyst Ratings). Long-term predictions, such as those from CoinCodex, suggest potential highs of $350 by 2030, indicating a bullish outlook (NVIDIA Long-term Forecast).

Risks and Challenges

Despite its strong position, NVDA faces several risks that could impact its growth trajectory:

• Competition: Rivals like AMD and Intel are intensifying efforts in AI chips, with AMD gaining traction in data centers and Intel focusing on foundry capabilities. Big tech firms, such as Google and Meta, are also developing in-house chips, potentially reducing reliance on NVDA, as noted in recent analyses (Nvidia Competition). While NVDA’s CUDA ecosystem provides a moat, competition could pressure margins over time.
• Regulatory and Trade Issues: Geopolitical tensions, particularly U.S.-China trade relations, pose risks. NVDA’s sales in China have been hampered by U.S. sanctions, with competitors like Huawei gaining ground in AI workloads (Nvidia China Sales). Potential tariffs under new administrations could further complicate operations, as mentioned in recent earnings calls (Nvidia Earnings Call).
• Supply Chain Constraints: Production challenges, such as those affecting the Blackwell rollout, could delay sales and impact gross margins. NVDA has acknowledged supply constraints in gaming and networking, which could affect revenue if not addressed (Nvidia Supply Issues).

Recent News and Market Context

Recent news highlights NVDA’s ongoing innovations and market dynamics. For instance, the company has expanded into healthcare AI applications, with partnerships enhancing its ecosystem (NVIDIA News). Additionally, NVDA’s disclosure of holdings in other companies, like selling stakes in SoundHound AI, has influenced related stock movements, reflecting its strategic portfolio adjustments (NVDA Recent News). These developments underscore NVDA’s active role in shaping AI trends, potentially impacting investor sentiment in the short term.

Comparative Analysis

To provide context, here’s a comparison of NVDA’s key metrics with competitors:

Metric	NVDA (Q3 2025)	AMD (Recent)	Intel (Recent)
Revenue (Billion USD)	35.1	5.8	13.3
EPS (USD)	0.78 (GAAP)	0.69	0.26
Year-over-Year Growth	94%	18%	-6%
Market Cap (Trillion USD)	3.4	0.183	0.102

This table highlights NVDA’s superior growth and market capitalization, reinforcing its leadership position (NVDA Financials, AMD Financials, Intel Financials).

Conclusion

NVDA stock offers a compelling investment case for both short-term and long-term horizons. The next week’s performance will likely be driven by the Q4 2025 earnings report, with potential for volatility based on results and guidance. Over the long term, NVDA’s dominance in AI, innovative product pipeline, and strong analyst support position it for sustained growth, despite competition and regulatory risks. Investors should monitor earnings outcomes, market trends, and geopolitical developments to make informed decisions.

Key Citations

• Nvidia Q3 2025 Earnings Announcement
• Nvidia Stock Forecast and Analyst Predictions
• Nvidia Competition and Market Analysis
• Nvidia Recent News and Updates
• Nvidia Long-term Stock Price Prediction
• Nvidia Analyst Ratings and Price Targets
• Nvidia Market Share and Industry Position
• AMD Financial Information
• Intel Financial Information